Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.007026 0.007861 0.008772 0.009842 0.011069 0.012435 0.014077
2025-03-30 0.005895 0.007076 0.008475 0.010267 0.012520 0.015282 0.018960
2025-04-06 0.004972 0.006236 0.007815 0.009954 0.012813 0.016554 0.021901
2025-04-13 0.004329 0.005619 0.007299 0.009680 0.013025 0.017641 0.024649
2025-04-20 0.003920 0.005243 0.007027 0.009657 0.013518 0.019113 0.028089
2025-04-27 0.003697 0.005083 0.007016 0.009973 0.014501 0.021378 0.033023
2025-05-04 0.003412 0.004800 0.006792 0.009939 0.014935 0.022841 0.036885
2025-05-11 0.003195 0.004592 0.006651 0.010000 0.015507 0.024569 0.041436
2025-05-18 0.002965 0.004343 0.006419 0.009888 0.015771 0.025800 0.045282
2025-05-25 0.002817 0.004204 0.006343 0.010012 0.016432 0.027782 0.050825
2025-06-01 0.002644 0.004011 0.006162 0.009939 0.016734 0.029146 0.055384
2025-06-08 0.002433 0.003741 0.005834 0.009582 0.016485 0.029449 0.057815
2025-06-15 0.002294 0.003584 0.005689 0.009549 0.016860 0.031060 0.063472
2025-06-22 0.002245 0.003573 0.005791 0.009969 0.018152 0.034694 0.074431
2025-06-29 0.002081 0.003354 0.005515 0.009666 0.017990 0.035303 0.078459
2025-07-06 0.001938 0.003163 0.005273 0.009402 0.017870 0.035982 0.082797
2025-07-13 0.001845 0.003050 0.005163 0.009379 0.018245 0.037799 0.090431
2025-07-20 0.001805 0.003030 0.005217 0.009684 0.019352 0.041448 0.103842
2025-07-27 0.001723 0.002927 0.005110 0.009651 0.019713 0.043396 0.112981
2025-08-03 0.001659 0.002852 0.005050 0.009711 0.020288 0.045954 0.124581
2025-08-10 0.001580 0.002744 0.004918 0.009603 0.020460 0.047517 0.133523
2025-08-17 0.001532 0.002693 0.004893 0.009722 0.021185 0.050642 0.148384
2025-08-24 0.001467 0.002604 0.004785 0.009651 0.021438 0.052538 0.159661